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LONDON: The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has urged the UK Labour government to abandon its commitment to the state pension “triple lock,” warning that the policy poses significant long-term risks to the country’s public finances amid rising debt and an ageing population.
Under the triple lock, the UK state pension increases each year by the highest of inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5%. The OECD argues that this mechanism has made pension spending increasingly volatile and costly, recommending that future increases instead be linked to the average of earnings growth and inflation to improve fiscal sustainability.
The Paris-based organization said reforming the pension system could generate savings equivalent to around 2% of the UK’s gross domestic product over the long term, while helping shield public finances from economic shocks. It also warned that rising healthcare costs and an ageing population are placing additional pressure on government spending.
The OECD’s recommendations come as Britain prepares for a political transition, with Andy Burnham expected to become the country’s next prime minister. The organization urged the incoming government to maintain strict fiscal discipline, warning against unfunded spending commitments despite supporting Labour’s plans to boost regional economic growth and productivity.
The report also advised ministers to focus on improving efficiency in the National Health Service, broadening the tax base rather than increasing tax rates, and pursuing structural reforms to strengthen long-term economic growth. Despite acknowledging recent progress in stabilizing the economy, the OECD forecast UK economic growth of 0.9% in 2026 and 1.1% in 2027, citing global uncertainty and elevated energy prices as continuing challenges.